Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.954230 6.711934 7.541625 8.519620 9.643499 10.897606 12.407200
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.770142 5.747351 6.900918 8.370796 10.204737 12.431480 15.361161
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.069826 5.153415 6.506967 8.337512 10.772235 13.932482 18.399256
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.554445 4.682910 6.158000 8.251952 11.187669 15.216661 21.268335
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.311644 4.519728 6.164357 8.603551 12.192061 17.377648 25.623816
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.008442 4.229231 5.949021 8.596569 12.656176 18.791217 29.049037
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.740636 3.954676 5.717618 8.523521 12.989425 20.019109 32.327852
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.406788 3.547837 5.246515 8.025555 12.588129 20.019708 33.551063
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.248628 3.389057 5.131445 8.065571 13.043499 21.452430 37.421219
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.161030 3.329443 5.161258 8.336541 13.904907 23.666114 43.021137
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.058760 3.236048 5.125828 8.489952 14.573164 25.611979 48.409896
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.956761 3.133442 5.064191 8.588029 15.146942 27.446267 53.858446
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.849160 3.015918 4.972423 8.632943 15.646284 29.240363 59.615359
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.708907 2.831912 4.751023 8.420443 15.632385 30.027974 63.357244
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.608814 2.709209 4.626014 8.372862 15.931400 31.481510 68.835356
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.512142 2.584851 4.487168 8.283678 16.133336 32.753000 74.112218
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.485019 2.582975 4.571012 8.636033 17.287768 36.239262 85.434681
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.412410 2.491967 4.480458 8.628840 17.673272 38.057408 92.893448
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.337635 2.391411 4.363518 8.555441 17.903459 39.545216 99.771716
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.218809 2.199579 4.056018 8.055365 17.120038 38.517455 99.552242
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.170538 2.140054 4.004200 8.095548 17.580930 40.588431 108.538541
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.150317 2.133523 4.057193 8.367658 18.617702 44.253990 123.023244
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.118755 2.102243 4.057213 8.521717 19.388520 47.349529 136.493653